The Gray Area

The Gray Area

Home
Notes
Energy
Economy
Perspective
Portfolio
Archive
About

Economy

Affordable Housing
Housing is in a confusing place right now, made worse by the home price to gold ratio.
Sep 30 • Grayson Hoteling
Gone Pear Shaped
The technology worked; the investment didn’t.
Sep 23 • Grayson Hoteling
Tethered To What
A critical view on the digitization of money.
Sep 16 • Grayson Hoteling
The Name’s Bond
Bonds are giving important clues about the markets for those paying attention.
Sep 9 • Grayson Hoteling
Pesky Midterms
Are midterm election years actually bad for the market, and is 2026 in trouble?
Aug 19 • Grayson Hoteling
The Strongest El Niño Ever
Studying the record 1877 El Niño gives clues into whether next year will be mild or a global calamity.
Aug 12 • Grayson Hoteling
Tumultuous Times Pt. 2
An analysis of the penultimate fourth turning and what that may imply for assets today.
Jul 29 • Grayson Hoteling
Time To Dig In
The trustworthy alternative when stocks don't work anymore.
Jul 22 • Grayson Hoteling
The Civil War
The Civil War was not the turning point people think it is.
Jul 15 • Grayson Hoteling
Written Off
Paper profits, deferred taxes, and the earnings bubble hiding inside the AI mania.
Jul 8 • Grayson Hoteling
Oh Barnacles!
The least sexy trade of 2026 might also be the most obvious one.
Jul 1 • Grayson Hoteling
Fields of Neglect Pt. 2
Right now is typically the best investment opportunity for this unloved sector.
Jun 17 • Grayson Hoteling
© 2026 Grayson Hoteling · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture